The latest jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) gives us data to examine the “teacher employment gap”—the gap between local public education employment and what is needed to keep up with growth in the student population. State and local government austerity since the recession has contributed to a significant shortfall in education employment. There are still 60,000 fewer public education jobs than there were before the recession began in 2007. If we include the number of jobs that should have been created just to keep up with growing student enrollment, we are currently experiencing a 307,000 job shortfall in public education.
Teacher employment and the number of jobs needed to keep up with enrollment, 2003–2019
Local public education employment | Jobs needed to keep up with student enrollment | ||
---|---|---|---|
2003-01-01 | 7.6974 | ||
2003-02-01 | 7.6974 | ||
2003-03-01 | 7.6912 | ||
2003-04-01 | 7.6985 | ||
2003-05-01 | 7.6950 | ||
2003-06-01 | 7.7315 | ||
2003-07-01 | 7.7791 | ||
2003-08-01 | 7.7252 | ||
2003-09-01 | 7.6675 | ||
2003-10-01 | 7.7165 | ||
2003-11-01 | 7.7025 | ||
2003-12-01 | 7.7031 | ||
2004-01-01 | 7.7120 | ||
2004-02-01 | 7.7199 | ||
2004-03-01 | 7.7483 | ||
2004-04-01 | 7.7538 | ||
2004-05-01 | 7.7767 | ||
2004-06-01 | 7.7607 | ||
2004-07-01 | 7.7575 | ||
2004-08-01 | 7.7669 | ||
2004-09-01 | 7.7743 | ||
2004-10-01 | 7.7828 | ||
2004-11-01 | 7.7975 | ||
2004-12-01 | 7.8032 | ||
2005-01-01 | 7.8219 | ||
2005-02-01 | 7.8311 | ||
2005-03-01 | 7.8209 | ||
2005-04-01 | 7.8294 | ||
2005-05-01 | 7.8402 | ||
2005-06-01 | 7.8188 | ||
2005-07-01 | 7.9047 | ||
2005-08-01 | 7.9073 | ||
2005-09-01 | 7.8787 | ||
2005-10-01 | 7.8646 | ||
2005-11-01 | 7.8756 | ||
2005-12-01 | 7.8830 | ||
2006-01-01 | 7.8822 | ||
2006-02-01 | 7.8869 | ||
2006-03-01 | 7.8906 | ||
2006-04-01 | 7.8961 | ||
2006-05-01 | 7.8839 | ||
2006-06-01 | 7.8678 | ||
2006-07-01 | 7.8999 | ||
2006-08-01 | 7.9352 | ||
2006-09-01 | 7.9726 | ||
2006-10-01 | 7.9502 | ||
2006-11-01 | 7.9545 | ||
2006-12-01 | 7.9568 | ||
2007-01-01 | 7.9598 | ||
2007-02-01 | 7.9533 | ||
2007-03-01 | 7.9563 | ||
2007-04-01 | 7.9654 | ||
2007-05-01 | 7.9743 | ||
2007-06-01 | 7.9646 | ||
2007-07-01 | 7.9457 | ||
2007-08-01 | 7.9918 | ||
2007-09-01 | 8.0086 | ||
2007-10-01 | 8.0230 | ||
2007-11-01 | 8.0344 | ||
2007-12-01 | 8.0547 | ||
2008-01-01 | 8.0535 | ||
2008-02-01 | 8.0647 | ||
2008-03-01 | 8.0679 | ||
2008-04-01 | 8.0620 | ||
2008-05-01 | 8.0781 | ||
2008-06-01 | 8.0862 | ||
2008-07-01 | 8.1194 | ||
2008-08-01 | 8.0919 | ||
2008-09-01 | 8.0853 | 8.0853 | 8.0853 |
2008-10-01 | 8.0898 | 8.0871 | 8.0853 |
2008-11-01 | 8.0828 | 8.0890 | 8.0853 |
2008-12-01 | 8.0836 | 8.0908 | 8.0853 |
2009-01-01 | 8.0840 | 8.0927 | 8.0853 |
2009-02-01 | 8.0967 | 8.0945 | 8.0853 |
2009-03-01 | 8.0937 | 8.0964 | 8.0853 |
2009-04-01 | 8.0916 | 8.0982 | 8.0853 |
2009-05-01 | 8.0882 | 8.1000 | 8.0853 |
2009-06-01 | 8.1084 | 8.1019 | 8.0853 |
2009-07-01 | 8.0667 | 8.1037 | 8.0853 |
2009-08-01 | 8.0619 | 8.1056 | 8.0853 |
2009-09-01 | 8.0123 | 8.1074 | 8.0853 |
2009-10-01 | 8.0737 | 8.1093 | 8.0853 |
2009-11-01 | 8.0991 | 8.1111 | 8.0853 |
2009-12-01 | 8.0716 | 8.1130 | 8.0853 |
2010-01-01 | 8.0685 | 8.1148 | 8.0853 |
2010-02-01 | 8.0570 | 8.1167 | 8.0853 |
2010-03-01 | 8.0580 | 8.1185 | 8.0853 |
2010-04-01 | 8.0563 | 8.1204 | 8.0853 |
2010-05-01 | 8.0624 | 8.1222 | 8.0853 |
2010-06-01 | 8.0486 | 8.1241 | 8.0853 |
2010-07-01 | 8.0263 | 8.1259 | 8.0853 |
2010-08-01 | 7.9971 | 8.1278 | 8.0853 |
2010-09-01 | 7.9192 | 8.1296 | 8.0853 |
2010-10-01 | 7.9637 | 8.1315 | 8.0853 |
2010-11-01 | 7.9615 | 8.1333 | 8.0853 |
2010-12-01 | 7.9535 | 8.1352 | 8.0853 |
2011-01-01 | 7.9436 | 8.1370 | 8.0853 |
2011-02-01 | 7.9296 | 8.1389 | 8.0853 |
2011-03-01 | 7.9249 | 8.1407 | 8.0853 |
2011-04-01 | 7.9367 | 8.1426 | 8.0853 |
2011-05-01 | 7.8987 | 8.1445 | 8.0853 |
2011-06-01 | 7.9605 | 8.1463 | 8.0853 |
2011-07-01 | 7.8620 | 8.1482 | 8.0853 |
2011-08-01 | 7.8212 | 8.1500 | 8.0853 |
2011-09-01 | 7.7980 | 8.1519 | 8.0853 |
2011-10-01 | 7.8279 | 8.1537 | 8.0853 |
2011-11-01 | 7.8147 | 8.1556 | 8.0853 |
2011-12-01 | 7.8042 | 8.1575 | 8.0853 |
2012-01-01 | 7.7974 | 8.1593 | 8.0853 |
2012-02-01 | 7.7998 | 8.1612 | 8.0853 |
2012-03-01 | 7.7945 | 8.1630 | 8.0853 |
2012-04-01 | 7.7857 | 8.1649 | 8.0853 |
2012-05-01 | 7.7740 | 8.1668 | 8.0853 |
2012-06-01 | 7.7782 | 8.1686 | 8.0853 |
2012-07-01 | 7.7718 | 8.1705 | 8.0853 |
2012-08-01 | 7.7708 | 8.1723 | 8.0853 |
2012-09-01 | 7.7688 | 8.1742 | 8.0853 |
2012-10-01 | 7.7593 | 8.1761 | 8.0853 |
2012-11-01 | 7.7553 | 8.1779 | 8.0853 |
2012-12-01 | 7.7712 | 8.1798 | 8.0853 |
2013-01-01 | 7.7698 | 8.1817 | 8.0853 |
2013-02-01 | 7.7703 | 8.1835 | 8.0853 |
2013-03-01 | 7.7746 | 8.1854 | 8.0853 |
2013-04-01 | 7.7690 | 8.1872 | 8.0853 |
2013-05-01 | 7.7812 | 8.1891 | 8.0853 |
2013-06-01 | 7.7578 | 8.1910 | 8.0853 |
2013-07-01 | 7.7654 | 8.1928 | 8.0853 |
2013-08-01 | 7.7744 | 8.1947 | 8.0853 |
2013-09-01 | 7.7732 | 8.1966 | 8.0853 |
2013-10-01 | 7.7761 | 8.1984 | 8.0853 |
2013-11-01 | 7.7786 | 8.2003 | 8.0853 |
2013-12-01 | 7.7607 | 8.2022 | 8.0853 |
2014-01-01 | 7.7624 | 8.2040 | 8.0853 |
2014-02-01 | 7.7677 | 8.2059 | 8.0853 |
2014-03-01 | 7.7780 | 8.2078 | 8.0853 |
2014-04-01 | 7.7988 | 8.2097 | 8.0853 |
2014-05-01 | 7.7672 | 8.2115 | 8.0853 |
2014-06-01 | 7.8159 | 8.2134 | 8.0853 |
2014-07-01 | 7.8476 | 8.2153 | 8.0853 |
2014-08-01 | 7.8122 | 8.2171 | 8.0853 |
2014-09-01 | 7.8376 | 8.2190 | 8.0853 |
2014-10-01 | 7.8450 | 8.2209 | 8.0853 |
2014-11-01 | 7.8447 | 8.2228 | 8.0853 |
2014-12-01 | 7.8490 | 8.2246 | 8.0853 |
2015-01-01 | 7.8532 | 8.2265 | 8.0853 |
2015-02-01 | 7.8640 | 8.2284 | 8.0853 |
2015-03-01 | 7.8527 | 8.2303 | 8.0853 |
2015-04-01 | 7.8650 | 8.2321 | 8.0853 |
2015-05-01 | 7.8685 | 8.2340 | 8.0853 |
2015-06-01 | 7.8664 | 8.2359 | 8.0853 |
2015-07-01 | 7.8927 | 8.2378 | 8.0853 |
2015-08-01 | 7.8943 | 8.2396 | 8.0853 |
2015-09-01 | 7.8509 | 8.2415 | 8.0853 |
2015-10-01 | 7.8678 | 8.2434 | 8.0853 |
2015-11-01 | 7.8732 | 8.2453 | 8.0853 |
2015-12-01 | 7.8763 | 8.2471 | 8.0853 |
2016-01-01 | 7.8847 | 8.2490 | 8.0853 |
2016-02-01 | 7.8897 | 8.2509 | 8.0853 |
2016-03-01 | 7.9055 | 8.2528 | 8.0853 |
2016-04-01 | 7.9070 | 8.2547 | 8.0853 |
2016-05-01 | 7.9110 | 8.2565 | 8.0853 |
2016-06-01 | 7.8916 | 8.2584 | 8.0853 |
2016-07-01 | 7.9697 | 8.2603 | 8.0853 |
2016-08-01 | 7.9332 | 8.2622 | 8.0853 |
2016-09-01 | 7.9174 | 8.2641 | 8.0853 |
2016-10-01 | 7.9139 | 8.2660 | 8.0853 |
2016-11-01 | 7.9000 | 8.2678 | 8.0853 |
2016-12-01 | 7.9103 | 8.2697 | 8.0853 |
2017-01-01 | 7.9181 | 8.2716 | 8.0853 |
2017-02-01 | 7.9097 | 8.2735 | 8.0853 |
2017-03-01 | 7.9181 | 8.2754 | 8.0853 |
2017-04-01 | 7.9179 | 8.2773 | 8.0853 |
2017-05-01 | 7.9188 | 8.2792 | 8.0853 |
2017-06-01 | 7.9202 | 8.2810 | 8.0853 |
2017-07-01 | 7.9183 | 8.2829 | 8.0853 |
2017-08-01 | 7.9260 | 8.2848 | 8.0853 |
2017-09-01 | 7.9304 | 8.2867 | 8.0853 |
2017-10-01 | 7.9388 | 8.2886 | 8.0853 |
2017-11-01 | 7.9392 | 8.2905 | 8.0853 |
2017-12-01 | 7.9430 | 8.2924 | 8.0853 |
2018-01-01 | 7.9342 | 8.2943 | 8.0853 |
2018-02-01 | 7.9496 | 8.2961 | 8.0853 |
2018-03-01 | 7.9500 | 8.2980 | 8.0853 |
2018-04-01 | 7.9534 | 8.2999 | 8.0853 |
2018-05-01 | 7.9565 | 8.3018 | 8.0853 |
2018-06-01 | 7.9675 | 8.3037 | 8.0853 |
2018-07-01 | 7.9727 | 8.3056 | 8.0853 |
2018-08-01 | 7.9934 | 8.3075 | 8.0853 |
2018-09-01 | 7.9764 | 8.3094 | 8.0853 |
2018-10-01 | 7.9695 | 8.3113 | 8.0853 |
2018-11-01 | 7.9704 | 8.3132 | 8.0853 |
2018-12-01 | 7.9737 | 8.3151 | 8.0853 |
2019-01-01 | 7.9842 | 8.3170 | 8.0853 |
2019-02-01 | 7.9836 | 8.3189 | 8.0853 |
2019-03-01 | 7.9838 | 8.3208 | 8.0853 |
2019-04-01 | 7.9893 | 8.3226 | 8.0853 |
2019-05-01 | 7.9819 | 8.3245 | 8.0853 |
2019-06-01 | 7.9782 | 8.3264 | 8.0853 |
2019-07-01 | 8.0075 | 8.3283 | 8.0853 |
2019-08-01 | 8.0188 | 8.3302 | 8.0853 |
2019-09-01 | 8.0252 | 8.3321 | 8.0853 |
Source: EPI analysis of Current Employment Statistics public data series and U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics
Teacher strikes in several states over the last few years have highlighted deteriorating teacher pay as a critical issue. My colleagues Sylvia Allegretto and Larry Mishel find that average weekly wages of public school teachers have fallen over the last two decades and the teacher wage penalty continues to grow, reaching a record 21.4% in 2018. My colleagues Emma García and Elaine Weiss have further documented shortcomings and teacher shortages and recently how much teachers have to pay out of their own pockets for school supplies for their classrooms. Low pay makes it harder to attract and retain teachers who have the qualifications associated with teacher effectiveness in the classroom.
The costs of a significant teacher employment gap are high, and consequences measurable: larger class sizes, fewer teacher aides, fewer extracurricular activities, and changes to curricula. To solve this problem, state and local governments need to fund more teaching positions and raise pay to close the teacher pay gap and attract and retain the qualified teachers our children deserve.